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Line Movement

Preseason line movement: how to tell a real move from a new number

A price that has just gone up is not a price that has moved. Most of what looks like preseason steam is a book posting a number for the first time and correcting it within the hour, and you cannot tell the difference unless you wrote down where it opened.

Our board is a good example of how little a single number tells you. Nine books price Montreal at Toronto on 29 September, five price Seattle at Calgary on 2 October, and Stake and Caesars price neither. A book being absent is not a book taking a view.

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Compare markets of the same type or the comparison is meaningless. bet365 and DraftKings post two-way moneylines. 1xBet, Melbet, FanDuel, Rainbet, Razed, Roobet and Linebet post regulation-time prices, and Linebet is synthesized from 1xBet rather than observed. Lining those up side by side makes a normal board look like a huge disagreement.

Puck lines and totals are the honest place to look for movement, because every book prices them the same way. Colorado -1.5 sits at 2.45 with bet365, 2.46 with Roobet, 2.38 with Rainbet and Razed and 2.36 with DraftKings and 1xBet. That spread is book margin, not a signal.

Hockey links for this story

bet365 review, Melbet promo, odds board, Calgary Flames team page, news hub. Only bet365 and BET99 hold provincial registrations in Ontario and Alberta, so check your own province before acting on any price above.

Bottom line

Record the opening number or do not claim a move. If you did not see the open, you are reading a screenshot and calling it information.

Play responsibly

Betting is 18+ (19+ in ON, BC, SK, NL, NB, NS, PE, YT, NT, NU). If gambling stops being fun, step away. Free confidential help lines:

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